The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, had revised its base year to 2011-12 and released revised annual estimate of National Income and other macroeconomic aggregates on 30th January 2015. Advance estimates of National Income for the financial year 2014-15, at constant (2011-12) and current prices were released. Economists are not convinced of this move.
GDP growth
rates for 2014-15 and Q1, Q2, Q3 of 2014-15 at constant (2011-12) and current
prices are given below:
Growth Rates
of GDP
|
||
Constant prices (2011-12)
|
Current prices
|
|
Annual
2014-15(Advance)
|
7.4
|
11.5
|
Q12014-15(April-June)
|
6.5
|
12.8
|
Q2
2014-15(July-Sep)
|
8.2
|
12.8
|
Q3
2014-15(Oct-Dec)
|
7.5
|
9.0
|
http://pib.nic.in/newsite/erelease.aspx?relid=115294
In the Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industry,
(FICCI) ’s Economic Outlook Survey, GDP growth is forecast at 5.6% for 2014-15.
With reforms, they reasonably expect to go beyond 6% in the next
fiscal.
"For 2014-15, real GDP growth is
projected to lie between 5 and 6 per cent, with a central estimate of 5.5 per
cent... For 2015-16, real GDP growth is projected to rise to 6.3 per
cent," RBI said in its
September monetary policy report
While leaving the controversy over the growth figures aside, how could
India accelerate itself ? Possibly by ensuring that stalled projects are put on stream.
There are tiers of bureaucrats sitting in judgment over decisions. There is
little accountability. Investments worth
$ 300 billion are stuck in projects that are being delayed. Since over one year
there is talk of removing obstacles.
- “An ounce of practice is worth more than tons of preaching.” (Gandhi)
Without any risk or responsibilty
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