There appears to be no reason to panic.
There may not even be a reason to fly to
safety. In an economy which appears to be sluggish and staring at deflation, military
and state armed forces' preparations are good news. The enormity of the terrorist attack and the
rapidity and wide area of terrorist operations re-emphasize the need for greater intelligence
sharing and ultra-modernization of the European armed forces. With the need to be a step ahead
of terrorist, the space to fill in implies potential large
scale governmental spending on radical and immediate rearming and also on research
in the area of self preservation. France
has already declared an emergency. So there cannot be fiscal constraints in defending the nation. Ground efforts at coordinated military action will intensify. All these movements mean fiscal spending.
Any big time spending is
an impetus to a slow European economy. So there is a possibility of an investment enhancement across Europe. Oil prices must also see a rise owing to possible disruption
in supplies in case of an escalation. Globally,
such individual attacks on markets have only limited impact on market. Markets get back faster than expected.
Coordinated
intelligence gathering and preparations for armed offensives are good in so far
as there is a fiscal stimulus and an enhanced aggregate demand.
In any dip, it is a good time to buy. US assets may see an inflow and a possible appreciation of the Dollar in the initial trades. Commodities may see some respite from a downward trend.
The views expressed here are without any risk or responsibility.
This blog recommends no investment.
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